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Flood protection decision now imminent/Royal
Mail - your views?/local events
09 March 2009
Hi all,
This week it's an update on the flood protection
issue, plus a survey of your views on Royal Mail part-privatisation,
plus some local events.
1. Flood protection: decision expected Wednesday
Very many thanks to all those who responded
to my survey on flood protection measures, including over 25%
of the entire population of Attenborough, reflecting the intense
interest that people are taking there in this issue. I've also
surveyed opinion in other parts of the flood plain. It seems fairest
to separate the two. In Attenborough, support for approval of
the proposal as it stands is running at 6-1, while outside Attenborough,
where the controversy over the appearance of the proposed wall
is less familiar, the margin is 60-1. Those who favour the scheme
almost all also favour proceeding rapidly, and think that opponents
should accept the decision; those who oppose it almost all disagree,
or say it should be left to opponents to decide for themselves
without public pressure. The overwhelming majority of replies
think it's right that I'm taking an interest in this controversy,
though some feel I've not presented the arguments against sufficiently
strongly.
Surveys like this are not as precise as opinions
polls with random samples, since people who responded are likely
to be particularly interested in the subject and to have read
my covering letter, which came down in favour of the proposal.
However, the margin is too great to be ignored: there appears
to be overwhelming support for proceeding.
There have, meanwhile, been further developments.
The critic with a legal background who challenged the earlier
council brief prepared by council officers, leading to a month's
delay in the decision, has, I understand, written again, with
a further lengthy list of legal objections to the brief: a key
argument, I understand, is that the council should consider whether
the likely subsequent hurdles (resolving the village green issue,
for instance) make the scheme unattractive, even if it is otherwise
acceptable. He has not asked for a further delay, however, and
the meeting is expected to go ahead on Wednesday. Critics are
proposing that the council should approve the route except for
the Attenborough segment.
I had a further lengthy discussion with the
Environment Agency, with two important points emerging. The first
is that they are willing to continue discussions on the Attenborough
stretch even if they do get approval, since they'd prefer to reach
consensus if they can - they're willing to have another try at
persuading Natural England that something on the edge of the nature
reserve might be tolerable, or to discuss other options. But they
are desperate to get approval for the scheme as a whole, since
that will enable them to start work on it, something which they
don't feel will be possible if the committee on Wednesday declines
to approve one component of it. (The problem is that if they built
a defence with a hole in it and that hole never gets plugged,
they would be accused of a colossal waste of money.) Whether this
willingness to keep looking at alternatives offers a real likelihood
of a result is hard to say. The second point was confirmation
that if the proposal was rejected, we could not rely on the funding
remaining available, as other areas were putting in strong, uncontested,
bids.
What I'd suggest to try to take maximise the
chance of consensus is that the Committee should approve the proposal,
with a rider on the lines of, "That the EA should continue
to seek improvements to the Attenborough Reach proposals in discussions
with all concerned, if they will not cause a delay in the project."
2. Royal Mail proposals
I've been studying the Government's proposals
for Royal Mail reform, as well as the criticisms by the trade
unionists and the more far-reaching privatisation proposals by
the Conservative and Liberal Democrats. I've decided to support
the union objections, and have signed a motion in Parliament urging
the government to reconsider.
I'll try to summarise the arguments here, and then poll you on
your views.
a) The problem
It's generally agreed that Royal Mail has problems.
The rise in commercial competition, the fall in private letter-writing
(by around 5% a year), the constraints imposed by Government (e.g.
the 'universal service' requirement to deliver letters every working
day anywhere in Britain for the same low price), a lag in adopting
new technology for sorting ands delivering internet orders, and
a big gap in the pension fund add up to a service under great
pressure. It's generally agreed that new investment and new technology
are needed as well as changes in working practices.
b) The Government's proposal
Lord Mandelson proposes to allow a private carrier
with expertise in modern technology (probably the Dutch firm TNT)
to buy a 30% stake in Royal Mail, in return for which they would
provide massive new investment and contribute know-how from their
highly efficient Dutch operation. The Government would, in return
for the prospect of a declining need for public support, eliminate
the pension fund deficit over a long period. The legislation would
rule out the possibility of the minority partner being able to
increase its stake (which means that full privatisation would
need fresh legislation) . The Post Office branch network would
be unaffected (it's a separate organisation from Royal Mail).
c) Alternative proposals
The Conservative Party favour full privatisation,
selling the company on the stock exchange on the lines that the
utilities like British Gas were privatised under the previous
Conservative government. The Liberal Democrats, as I understand
it, propose combining privatisation with reserving a block of
shares for employees, to give them a stalke in the business, but
removing it from public control.
d) Problems in the proposals
As with other public services, it's hard to
reconcile the need for profit with the public ethos. The universal
service obligation seems natural enough to Royal Mail, but will
look like a peculiar constraint to a private company: why should
they charge the same to deliver to 100 flats in one block as to
a house up a remote glen in Scotland, or even a village like Awsworth?
Why should they deliver every day? Why not expect customers to
collect their posts from central collection boxes (as is common
in Switzerland, for instance)?
Although the 30% share concept seemed an attractive
compromise to me, I share the concern of the unions that it would
turn out to be a staging post to full privatisation by a future
government: it's hard to argue that 30% is OK but 100% is terrible.
Moreover, TNT's role is not really clear - would they just act
as management consultants and providers of cash and technology,
or would their own network be integrated with Royal Mail?
I'm working with colleagues who share my reservations
on an alternative proposal, a strategic partnership for Royal
Mail with another provider (which could certainly be TNT), which
would have clearly-specified objectives and limits. The provider
would be rewarded through a share of the profits but would not
get a share in the ownership or the potential to take control
through a later extension. The model could be similar to companies
brought in to help modernise the Passport Service: there's no
reason not to buy in expert knowhow, but we don't sell off the
service while we're at it.
What do you think? You can find my survey on
the issue here
http://tinyurl.com/djpgz7
3. Local events
The Beeston and District branch of the Royal
British Legion are holding a mammoth book and video sale on Saturday
14 March, 10.30-1 at the Beeston British Legion Social Club, 16
Hall Croft, Beeston, Nottingham NG9 1EL. They have hundreds of
books available and a large range of videos and all proceeds will
go towards the work of the Legion in this area.
The Nottingham & District Pre-Retirement
Council is a local charity based on the High Road in Beeston.
They are holding a Pre-Retirement Course at Beeston Town Hall
on 23,24,25 March, to advise people on what to consider as they
approach retirement. To book a place or find out more, contact
Linda Whitt on 0115 9223824 or e mail linda-phil@nottingh ampre-retireme.
fsnet.co.uk, or you can book on line on the website www.ndprc.org.uk
Best wishes
Nick
Correction
22 February 2009
Quick correction: the email which I was quoting
this morning was in
fact not from the head teacher at Attenborough Preparatory School
but
from the proprietor of the school - apologies for my confusing
them.
Best regards
Nick
Flood and other survey results/deceptive tactics/Greasley
by-election
22 February 2009
Hi all –
I've been a bit quiet lately as I've been recovering
from the after-
effects of the Greenpeace spam (since even when they stopped there
were four days' worth of genuine accumulated emails to sort out)
and
the huge response to the flood survey. I've still got some unanswered
emails but will get back to you as soon as possible.
1. Survey results
• The response on the flood survey is
currently over 10-1 in
favour of accepting the current proposal, rather than kicking
it into
touch in the hope that a better option can be negotiated. I will
be
passing the detailed results to the Development Control Committee,
who are now expected to decide on the application on March 11.
I'd like to ask people to cool tempers a bit
if possible – we're
trying to decide where best to put flood defences, not refighting
the
Civil War, and there's scope for honest disagreement. The head
of
Attenborough Preparatory School tells me that by favouring the
proposal I am making children "potentially prey to violent
or sexual
attack" (because attackers could skulk behind a flood wall),
and adds
that it is "typical of your kind" not to rate children's
safety
highly. Eh? I'm not sure what "kind" he feels I am,
but this seems to
me frankly silly: on that basis, no walls should be built anywhere
that a child might pass, including school walls. Conversely, I'm
told
that some have accused the AFAA of being `snobs'. I know the people
involved and they don't strike me as snobbish - they're simply
concerned about the visual impact and the lack of protection for
the
sports fields. I think they're mistaken to think that a better
idea
is achievable, but there's really scope to have more than one
sincere
opinion on this sort of thing.
• 57% of you favour MPs' expenses being
broken down by
subcategory (furniture etc.) and 73% supported my proposal to
allow
receipts to be available on request. 18% oppose publishing individual
receipts at all, while 9% feel they should be available online
without having to ask.
• Only 9% favour pressing ahead with the Tesco proposal.
50%
favour waiting until all traffic and design issues have been
reviewed. 41% want the application to be discouraged altogether.
Traffic congestion and the protection of small shops are by a
large
margin the greatest concerns.
• 62% favour slowing the growth of air travel for environmental
reasons, against 27% who disagree (the rest aren't sure). 56%
favoured refusing a third runway at Heathrow, against 40% who
favoured it with or without restrictions on use.
• 77% find my updates nearly always interesting, and 18%
often
interesting. 91% favour current frequency and length. 97% like
an
occasional in-depth discussion, like the recent one on the economy.
2. Deceptive tactics
A LibDem leaflet in the Greasley by-election
claims that "experts"
think the election looks like a two-horse race between them and
the
Conservatives. I'll comment on the by-election below, but I'd
like to
make a mild fuss about this as it's a regular pattern. The LibDems
came fourth and last in the ward last time, with around 10% of
the
vote. Pretending they are the main challengers seems a blatant
deception. Not, moreover, a deception of mad extremist voters
– it
appears designed to make a fool of their own potential voters.
(If
they disagree, I would like to invite them to produce *one*
independent expert who agrees with their claim.)
Unfortunately this isn't a one-off: it's a regular feature of
LibDem campaigning, which we'll no doubt see again in the County
and
General Elections. In the Beeston Central by-election they made
the
same claim, and ended up with 10% of the vote in distant third.
In
Glenrothes they put out a bar-chart purporting to show they were
the
main rivals to the SNP – only if you read the very fine
print, you
discovered the chart was from an election in a completely different
place, and in reality they came in fourth.
Does this sort of thing matter? Yes, I think it does. There are
lots of good LibDem councillors around, who can stand fairly on
their
merits, and they could also make a case to vote for them for their
policies, regardless of the tactical situation. But this sort
of
trickery turns people off politics altogether.
Meanwhile, I note that BNP leaflets are claiming they're the only
party who favour withdrawal from the EU. That will be news to
UKIP,
and again it treats voters as if they were born yesterday. (By
contrast, the Conservative leaflets in the by-election seem perfectly
OK to me – they simply put the case for their candidate.)
3. By-election
This only affects a minority of you, so I've
left it till last, and
as usual at elections I'll put the case for a colleague who's
standing. Ed Jacobs is my assistant, and one of the most
conscientious people I know, as well as being genuinely constructive
in his outlook: You can find a commentary from him here
http://tinyurl.com/chlxmg
A typical anecdote: I've organised a meeting
with the IKEA site
managers on Friday about the traffic problems, and I suggested
that
if he won the by-election he should attend. He replied that he'd
like
to come even if he lost, since so many people had mentioned the
problem to him that he'd like to help solve it. It's the kind
of
attitude that councils need, since if we're honest the work is
80%
non-party problem-solving (is there really an especially Labour
or
Tory policy on roundabouts? ). I hope you'll give him a chance.
Best wishes
Nick
Gaza/Tesco news/open-cast mining/bus progress
29 December 2008
Hi all -
I hope you've enjoyed a very happy Christmas.
I took both Xmas days
off but have been working through the backlog of emails - if you've
not had a reply yet, you will soon.
I've raised a question about open-casting in
Parliament (see point
2), there's important news about Tesco (see point 3) and a new
campaign on the bus link to Phoenix Park (see point 4). First
though
something on the main current news:
1. Gaza
I'm very concerned about what's happening -
the mounting death toll,
appalling in itself, also seems to me to have the potential to
wreck
the chance of the new US administration getting a useful breakthrough
in Middle East negotiations. With Parliament in recess, there
are
limited opportunities to debate it, so I've written a piece for
the
Guardian which they hope to use on Wednesday, at least on the
website - as I'm a member of Labour Friends of Israel, the criticism
carries a little more weight than otherwise. I'll just put extracts
here:
-------
We should accept that the position is hellishly difficult. Gaza
is
ruled by Hamas, an organisation that is in rebellion against the
elected, internationally- recognised Palestinian leadership, denies
Israel's right to exist and sponsors armed attacks on civilians.
Moreover, the current fighting follows an explicit termination
of the
cease-fire by Hamas. If you end a cease-fire, shouldn't you expect
to
be attacked?
Up to a point, yes. If Israel launched air strikes
against groups
preparing to fire missiles, it would be entirely covered by
international law on self-defence. If, during the Troubles, Ireland
had tolerated missiles being launched from its territory against
Belfast, we would have certainly felt entitled to hit back.
The problem is that Israel's response consistently
reaches beyond
Hamas's leadership and terrorist groups and affects the entire
civilian population. The current offensive is targeting Hamas,
but
entirely inevitably it is killing significant numbers of civilians
as
well – clearly more than the 14 killed by all the missiles
fired at
Israel over the last two years – and must be terrorising
everyone
living in the area. It is a wholly disproportionate response,
as if
we'd launched air raids on Dublin in response to outrages by IRA
groups...
It is hard to avoid the impression that the
operation is designed to
strengthen the governing parties before the imminent Israeli
election, and to weaken Hamas before Obama takes over. But what
kind
of impression is President Obama going to have as he weighs up
American policy options? We owe it to our Israeli friends to be
frank. They are going too far, and forfeiting support from quarters
that they need, including Britain's. It is time to stop and think.
------------
If you'd like to see the full article, let me know, though it
should
be available online soon.
2. Open-cast mining
As energy prices soared in the summer, long-postponed
open-cast
mining projects were dusted off and resubmitted, and two
controversial projects were approved. This was once a great concern
locally, and I supported legal action against my own Government
on
behalf of constituents until I was able to persuade the minister
to
withdraw support. I thought it was time to fire a shot across
the
bows against any revival of interest, and you can see the exchange
here:
http://tinyurl.com/8urlkm
Now the energy prices have fallen again, I suspect
that interest will
diminish, but I'm keeping a watchful eye.
3. Tesco news
Those of you who don't live in or near Beeston
may want to skip to
the next point. Those who do may be interested in the latest news.
I
understand that, following intensive discussions with the council
about the traffic impact of the proposed store, Tesco have asked
for
their application (due to be discussed at the next planning meeting)
to be held over, while they meet with Henry Boot and other major
town 'players' to try to agree with the council a joint strategy
for
traffic management. My understanding is that for some time
councillors who aren't necessarily against another store in principle
have been expressed concerns that it could produce total gridlock
around the Station Road/Middle Street junction.
For background: this area has largely stood
derelict since the dye-
works closed over 20 years ago during which time various schemes
have
been proposed but come to nothing. It was classified as "Town
Centre
retail land" at the public inquiry held in 2000 and as such
the
council cannot reject an application from a retailer such as Tesco
on
the grounds that they don't like Tesco or they think another shop
like Marks and Spencer would be better. However, they *can* reject
the application on architectural merit or on the grounds that
the
traffic generated and resultant congestion has not been properly
taken into account.
Beeston North Labour Party raised objections
to the design and won
some concessions but still have serious concerns about the traffic.
They have invited me to chair a public meeting alongside an
independent civil engineer on 5 January at 7.30 in Roundhill School.
They have invited all members of the Development Control Committee,
regardless of party. DCC members can't for legal reasons comment
themselves, but I hope they will take the opportunity to listen
to
public opinion and weigh up any evidence produced.
To supplement this, I've set up a small online
survey. If you go here
http://tinyurl.com/9gnt4f
you'll find it, inviting you to comment both
on the basic issues
surrounding the proposal and on the possibility of improved public
transport to the town centre.
That takes us onto the next point, and this
time you may want to skip
it if you don't live on the IKEA-Giltbrook- Newthorpe- Eastwood
line:
4. Possible new bus route
There's a by-election coming up in Giltbrook
and Newthorpe, and in
preparation for it I wrote to everyone in the area asking their
priorities. Something which often came up was whether the new
bus
which Richard Robinson and I negoiated from Ilkeston via cossal,
Awsworth and Kimberley to the tram stop at Phoenix Park couldn't
have
a service extending into the area up to Hill Top. We're taking
this
up, together with our candidate, Ed Jacobs, and there seems to
be
some real interest. It would be helpful if we had further
confirmations of interest (what really swung the Kimberley project
was the vast number of people who said they wanted it): if you
think
you'd use such a bus, please let me know.
As always, feedback welcome - please indicate
NNTR (no need to reply)
if appropriate.
Finally, Happy New Year!
Best regards
Nick
Happy Christmas!
20 December 2008
Hello all -
This is mainly just to wish you a very happy
Christmas and to wish us
all a peaceful and improving New Year.
Due to pressure of work recently, I still owe
responses to a number
of you. When this happens, I give priority to people who have
pressing personal concerns that I might be able to help with,
and
respond more slowly to the general political points. I'm sure
you
understand, but I promise to get back to everyone over the coming
recess.
Do in any case feel free to contact me if anything
else arises - I
know it can feel especially difficult if you have a problem at
this
time of year. My office will be shut in Xmas-New Year week, but
you
can reach me by email except on Dec 24-25, when my wife will sleigh
me (sorry!) if I try to answer.
I've been asked to pass on this coming event:
Chilwell Arts Theatre, Chilwell School
Oxfordshire Touring Theatre Company presents Hansel & Gretel
by award
winning children's writer Mike Kenny on Wed 21st January 2009
at
7.30pm. Tickets £7, £5 concessions, £22 family
ticket (2 + 2)
Contact 0115 9252698 or 07827 996 223 for tickets. Suitable for
everyone aged over 6 years,
All good wishes to you and your family
Nick and Fiona
Mumbai/economy update/police raid/youth campaign/coming
events
30 November 2008
Hi all –
An unusually large number of requests for information
and comment, so
I'll press ahead, pausing only to mention this entertaining cartoon,
which I think all of us who have got involved in internet debates
(and our spouses) will recognise:
http://xkcd.com/386/
Note that there are two coming events lsited
at the end, one of which
is tomorrow (Monday).
1. Mumbai
I've not much to add to the general horror over
what has been
described as "India's 9/11", but it's a reminder of
just how global a
threat terrorism can be. The pattern of the attacks is reminiscent
of
Al Qu'aeda's transparent attempt to get the Shia and Sunni
communities in Iraq at war with each other, in the belief that
civil
war makes extremist factions prosper. One point of reassurance:
the
early reports that British citizens were among the attackers –
irresponsibly headlined in several British newspapers –
seem so far
to have been based on nothing: all the attackers so far seem to
have
been from the subcontinent.
2. Economy round-up
Several of you asked me to comment on two aspects:
a) Home energy prices
I had one of the first questions at Prime Ministers' Questions
last
week, and used it for this brief exchange (quote from Hansard):
Dr. Nick Palmer (Broxtowe) (Lab): Does the Prime
Minister agree that
it is high time the utility companies passed on the reduction
in gas
prices to people at home who are looking forward to the coming
winter?
The Prime Minister: Ofgem will publish a report on that very soon.
It
is imperative that when oil prices come down, companies are as
quick
to put prices down as they were to put prices up.
What was behind this question is this. In order to secure supply,
the
utility companies had to buy gas contracts for the winter well
in
advance when global prices were much higher. However, I know from
my
recent stint as energy PPS that these contracts are now starting
to
end, to be replaced by lower-prices contracts, and I wanted to
add to
the pressure to pass on the reductions and not sit on the profit
as
people go into the winter. Since the exchange, I've made further
enquiries, and gather that the Government has been having discussions
with the companies, pointedly noting that a windfall tax has not
been
ruled out, and the first round of reductions should be announced
by
next month.
b) VAT reduction
Why was the 2.5% VAT reduction chosen as the
main way to tackle the
recession? I don't think this has been well-explained, frankly.
The
point is not that many people who were planning to skip a major
purchase will rush out to do it because they see there's 2.5%
less
tax. The reason to use VAT is that it has a cumulative effect
on
nearly everything. If the reduction is passed on in prices, then
at
the end of the month we'll find ourselves with that much more
spending money; if it's not, it gives some breathing space for
businesses under pressure. Coupled with the offer to allow hard-
pressed businesses to pay tax and NI more gradually, it should
help
many businesses who would otherwise have gone under.
There were mild boosts for pensioners (the £60 January bonus)
and
others, but most tax and benefit changes can't take effect in
the
middle of the financial year. VAT is the fastest affordable way
to
come to the rescue. It does cost money, but if the businesses
it
helps had gone bust the effects would have cost much more.
3. The Damian Green controversy
I need to be a little careful in discussing
this, since I don't in
general like discussing colleagues, and where there is possible
court
action in prospect it puts a fair trial at risk to speculate
recklessly. However, there's obviously widespread concern about
events, and I can comment in general terms.
The following seems to be accepted by all concerned:
- A civil servant in the Home Office with a
background in
Conservative politics has been passing a series of confidential
documents to Mr Green. As the civil servant is bound by the Official
Secrets Act, this appears to be an offence.
- The documents known so far don't have any
obvious security
implications. Some of them come under the heading of `things that
could embarrass ministers', and were used as such by Mr Green.
Others
are more party political in flavour – e.g. he was given
a list of
Labour MPs thought willing to consider an approach from the
Conservatives to support their position on a Bill.
- The head of the Home Office Civil Service
ordered an enquiry
into the leaks. In order to avoid any appearance of political
interference, Ministers seem to have specifically asked not to
be
consulted about the details. As a result, the police proceeded
autonomously. When they discovered Mr Green's involvement, they
arrested him while they searched his premises and home to see
if
stolen documents could be found. He was detained for nearly eight
hours while this was going on.
Criticism has focused on these points:
- While it appears that a breach of contract
has taken place,
there are plenty of previous examples of leaks: isn't the police
involvement over the top?
- Even if the police were correctly involved,
should they have
been allowed to search Mr Green's Commons offices?
- Doesn't the whole incident have an intimidatory
effect on
cases where some genuine outrage needs to be uncovered?
I think it really depends on the details, and
I'd like to know more
before I decide what I think. However, some first thoughts:
First, if Mr Green has just been receiving documents
unsolicited and
passing them to journalists then it's not the end of the world,
or
even unusual. If he was more actively involved in encouraging
a
regular breach of the civil servant's contract, it could become
more
serious. At present, we don't know, and we shouldn't leap to
conclusions.
Second, the police action does seem on the face
of it to be
excessive. I think it's reasonable that they should want to know
what
documents had been passed on (so as to check how severely security
has been breached), but a civilised approach would have been to
question Mr Green and ask his permission to search in his presence.
Only if he refused would the need for arrest arise. I don't know
if
this happened, but it should have.
Third, some of the criticism seems to me wildly
overblown. Mr Cameron
is said to have called the incident "Stalinesque" and
others have
compared it to Zimbabwe. Stalin killed several million people;
Mugabe
is responsible for the disappearance of numerous opponents,
widespread hunger and the systematic abuse of power. Mr Green
has
been subjected to a day's inconvenience: it may be a bad thing,
but
it is not in any sense similar. Similarly, today's Independent
headline is "Bugging Scandal Inside the Commons", but
the article
actually reveals that despite repeated checks there is *no*
indication of any bugging in the Commons, and indeed that it's
official policy since the 1960s not to do it.
So a sense of proportion is needed – but
we do need to be concerned
both about the leaking of documents and the tendency of the police
to
go for dramatic operations where gentler enquiries could achieve
the
same effect (also seen in the `cash for honours' enquiry, where
Ruth
Turner, who was subsequently cleared, was arrested by a large
police
force in a well-publicised dawn raid). I don't think that Ministers
ought to be involved in deciding on police operations and I'm
glad
they weren't in this case, but general guidance to exercise restraint
where the democratic process is involved may be needed. I'm not
saying that out of solidarity with Mr Green, who may at the least
have behaved unwisely, but because we need a political climate
as
free as possible from police involvement.
4. Bramcote Hills update
I had a discussion this week with Kevin Dean,
the head of the White
Hill Park Federation of schools, about the outlook. As most of
you
know, a number of the Bramcote Hills buildings from the 1950s
and
1960s have been found to be structurally unsafe, and the plan
is to
convert the school into a 14-19 college for the area, in particular
for the other partners in the Federation (Bramcote Park and Alderman
White), who will take over the future pupil intake and continue
to
offer 11-6 education. The Government has indicated that it's willing
in principle to bring forward the refurbishment of the schools
to the
coming phase of the Building Schools for the Future programme,
which
should fit with the plan and avoid an awkward hiatus between the
running down of the current school and the replacement by new
buildings.
I agreed to support this strongly. There are
still some hurdles to
jump: the remaining building assessments should be ready by January
and may have welcome or unwelcome news about the other Hills
buildings; the deal with the LEA and Government has to be finalised;
and the whole BSF programme has to survive without being heavily
cut
(which, without being too political about it, may depend on the
next
election and what the different parties have to say about their
plans - unless the contracts have been signed first). I'm also
very
keen that the interests of parents and children in the tricky
transition phase should be considered at every point.
In addition to all this, I organised a discussion
with Mr Dean about
a project initiated by Cllr John McGrath in Stapleford: this is
for a
sports facility offering football pitches, changing and medical
facilities, CCTV replay, and lecture rooms, which would offer
a base
for amateur and youth clubs through the area. There's a private
firm
specialising in this called Complete Football (chairman Kenny
Dalgeish) – see http://www.complete football. net/index_
11.htm for more
details. They are a private company: they would build the facility
(costing over £2 million) and employ around 25 people on
a permanent
basis for maintenance and training; in return they would get the
land
at a very low rent for a 50-year lease (covenanted for the football
usage) and be able to rent out use outside school hours., offering
low rates for amateur groups. There is an existing facility in
Newcastle, and there may be potential for cooperation with Notts
County and Nottingham Forest, providing them with an FA-standard
feeder facility for young players – County in particular
are I'm told
currently limited in this respect. The pitch would also be usable
for
rugby training.
The reason I brought them together is that they're
essentially short
of land but rich in capital, while Bramcote Hills, thanks to the
new
plans, is rich in land (there are nine underused football pitches
at
the moment) but short of capital. There's a good way to go and
other
interested bodies to consult, but at present everyone is interested.
5. Youth Parliament, alcohol unit and train
petitions
Broxtowe's Youth Parliament (made up of representatives
from nearly
all our schools) is one of the most active in Britain, and this
year
is concentrating on a campaign among fellow-students against binge
drinking. They're working with Louise Rhymes, the mother of Stacey,
the girl who tragically died from alcohol misuse. They've proposed
having a unit at the QMC to address alcohol addiction and effects,
and among other things are supporting this petition which you
might
like to consider signing:
http://petitions.number10.gov.uk/StaceysUnit
While you're in signing mood, if you live in
the south of the
borough, I'd be grateful if you would consider signing this petition,
which I'm using to press East Midlands Trains on their reduction
in
service on Saturdays in particular;
http://www.broxtowelabour.org/Pettrain.htm
Although this was initiated by the local Labour
Party, it does not
imply any support for us, and we will use your signature only
to help
press the case.
6. Coming events
a) Amnesty quiz
Beeston Amnesty are doing a pub quiz at the
Commercial Inn, Wollaton
Road, tomorrow Monday December 1, from 730pm, £2 entry (£1
unwaged),
with profits going to their support for refugees worldwide.
b) Daniel Smith piano concert
For the third year running, Trowell Paris hCouncil are hosting
an
event featuring the `new Jools Holland', pianist Daniel Smith,
on
Friday December 12 at the Parish Hall, 8pm (£10 including
a hot drink
and biscuits). I quote: "A musical performance featuring
the band,
performing a whole range of authentic downhome blues, stomping
boogie-
woogie & classy blues & jazz grooves, with plenty of humorous
dialogue & background to tunes. There will be ample opportunity
for
people to dance if they wish." Information and tickets from
tpc@gotadsl. co.uk.
As always, feedback on all these things welcome
- please add NNTR (no
need to reply) if you don't need a personal answer.
Best regards
Nick
Primary school help: update
16 November 2008
Just a quick addition - I've had some feedback
from a reader on the
County LEA team to my earlier email. He says that the funds that
I
mentioned are in response to a bid which envisages major new work
at
Beeston Fields primary and nursery. They plan to write out to
all
schools this week informing them of the funding and what it means
in
practice, and say whilst it is largely earmarked it is still tremendous
news and will deal with some of the priority needs.
Thus, I suggest putting any governors' discussion
of it on hold for a
week until you hear more.
Regards, Nick
The Baby P tragedy/new dentist openings/housing/schools/debates
16 November 2008
Hello all –
I'd like primarily to concentrate this week
on lessons from the Baby
P tragedy, but I'll do a rapid roundup of other issues first,
starting with sad local news.
1. Martin Wright
I'm very sorry to have to report that Conservative
councillor Martin
Wright (Newthorpe and Giltbrook) has died of cancer. Martin wasn't
one of the highest-profile councillors, because of his illness,
but
everyone I've spoken to has said he was very well-liked by all
his
colleagues. Anyone who works for the community deserves special
acknowledgement, and I'm sure everyone will want to join in
condolences to his family.
2. More NHS dentistry in Broxtowe
Although we do have NHS cover for the constituency,
it's been tight
ever since the Queen's Road surgery went private. I'm delighted
to
report that funding has now been provided for 2,500 more NHS
patients, phased in over the next couple of years starting now.
Anyone in the borough can apply (the practice is in Devonshire
Avenue, Beeston) – see www.beestondentalpr actice.co. uk.
3. Primary schools funding
The big news for local primaries is that a funding
programme for
improvements to primary schools of £16.7 million in 2009-10
has been
approved for Nottinghamshire, subject to confirmation of details.
This is separate from the programme to refurbish every secondary
school by 2017, and unlike that it doesn't necessarily apply to
every
school. However, it means that it's a good moment to press the
local
authority for specific improvements, and if governors would like
to
put forward proposals I'll be glad to try to help.
4. Debates
The Conservatives have claimed that their delayed
response was due to
their getting my email address wrong when they declined a November
7
debate, and Ms Soubry has bafflingly demanded that I apologise.
With
the best will in the world, I don't see why I should apologise
for
their inability to answer a simple question for two months ("Are
you
willing to debate me this year?"). The chronology is odd,
too (they
sent a subsequent email, with the correct address, expressing
continued interest in a November 7 debate). It's the most trivial
of
issues and I don't want to distract from the main theme of this
email. Since I've been asked for an apology, though, I'll append
the
full chronology at the end of this email for anyone who wants
to form
an opinion.
Anyway, we've now agreed on the first two dates:
Jan 30 Kimberley, 7-9 (Kettlebrook Lodge?)
Feb 27 Trowell Parish Hall, 7-9
To be confirmed for Stapleford – I've suggested March.
5. Overview of every possible development point
Parallel to the debate on possible major housing
developments which
I've highlighted in earlier emails, Notts have helpfully published
an
overview of every single site throughout the County that has been
suggested by developers or anyone else as a possible housing
development site. Some of these have been ruled out by the
Sustainable Urban Extensions study (e.g. the Watnall development
won't happen any time before 2026), but this provides a useful
overview to explore what might one day be proposed in your area.
You
can find a search tool provided by the County here:
www.nottinghamshire.gov.uk/shlaadb
To avoid getting deluged with single house proposals,
I suggest
starting by looking at your area with possible developments of
50+
houses. Bear in mind that this isn't in any sense a proposal from
the
County, but just an attempt to be transparent and ensure that
everyone knows what's happening. If you have specific objections
to a
particular possible site which you think the County might not
know
about, it's worth talking to your County Councillor to make sure
they're taken on board.
6. Post offices
Without any public politicking, I've been working
with colleagues on
all sides of the House for several months to ensure that the Post
Office Card Account stayed with the PO, and I'm delighted with
the
outcome as it will be a real relief to many constituents. However,
the cards are a declining source of income (only 1% of new pensioners
use them), and it's absolutely vital in the medium term is to
use
post offices for new functions. Peter Mandelson (as Business
Secretary) is consulting on expanding their role in financial
services, since in the aftermath of the bank disasters there is
a
real interest in a trusted institution like the Post Office providing
additional options for people's money. I'd also like to see more
use
of shared facilities with local councils – why not have
post offices
linked to council offices and libraries, for instance?
7. The Baby P tragedy
I guess I'm not alone in having had real difficulty
in watching or
reading about this particularly horrific case. We're all sadly
aware
of cases of neglect and of parents who are drunk or frustrated
abusing their children, but systematic torture is something that
we
encounter once in a generation (it brings to mind the Jamie Bulger
case and earlier the Moors murders), and it's so very terrible
to
hear of it happening to a baby.
There are glaringly obvious questions about
how it could have been
overlooked by both the doctor and the social workers involved.
As
there are now four separate investigations of different aspects
in
progress, one of which is due to report in two weeks' time, I
won't
try to prejudge them. In the meantime I've written to Notts Social
Services asking them what assurances they can give me that a sequence
of events like that is guarded against here.
What I'd like to do now is look at some policy
issues. It's fine as
far as it goes to say that correct procedures were followed, but
a
case like this raises the question of whether the procedures
themselves are adequate.
a) Collective murder
As I understand it, none of the people involved
in the torture could
actually be charged with murder, since there is no evidence who
committed the killing blow or whether they intended it to kill.
If
so, the law needs to be changed. If several people are involved
in
systematic activity which they could reasonably expect to lead
to
someone's death, and it does so, then they seem to me collectively
guilty of the offence, and the law should reflect that. I also
think
that the penalties for torture should be the same as for murder-
most
people would probably actually rather be murdered than suffer
years
of torture.
b) Social service guidelines
We need to be careful about this, since social
workers are damned
whatever they do. I have local cases of constituents who say that
they are being unnecessarily pestered by social workers because
they
are suspected of mistreatment of their children: they claim that
they
have given the fullest possible answers, their children have
separately confirmed that they're fine, so why are Social Services
still coming round and badgering them?
The reality is that where there is cause for
concern there will
usually be room for some doubt. Say you're a social worker and
visit
a home where the child is bruised, for the second time. The mother
says, `Isn't it awful, he's so accident-prone, you just fell down
the
stairs without looking, didn't you Freddy?' The boy nods. What
do you
do? Well, you might ask to talk to the boy privately, but what
if he
confirms it? Maybe he's afraid to say anything. You could ask
a
doctor to have a look at the bruises and give an opinion on how
they
were caused. You could resolve to come again soon and see if there's
anything further. Or you could press the nuclear button and take
the
child away. There are detailed procedures for all this, but sometimes
they will lead to the wrong answer – either a perfectly
harmless
family will be broken up because you're over-active in taking
the
children away, or a tragedy will result because you were too cautious.
My view is that we need to err on the side of
safety, since over-
intrusive social workers are no doubt upsetting and annoying for
families, but that pales in comparison with the impact of real
abuse.
Where a constituent asks me to intervene, what I do is ask Social
Services to come to a decision as soon as possible in everyone's
interest. But I won't tell them what they should decide, nor will
I
demand that they be sacked if they once get it wrong, so long
as they
can show that they did everything they could to try to get it
right.
The big question in Haringay is whether that can possibly be the
case.
c) What if other MPs are contacted?
A social worker at Haringay wrote to a number
of Ministers and MPs
alleging that standards were slack and it was being covered up
by the
council. I didn't get that one, but like I assume all MPs, I often
get letters like this from non-constituents: some claim quite
extensive conspiracies, other simply say that a particular decision
is unfair.
What I do in this case is normally to refer
to the constituent' s own
MP and offer to support any action which he or she thinks
appropriate. If I'm the MP, I'll refer it to the body responsible
for
supervising standards, as seems to have happened in this case.
This
is, I think the only thing we can sensibly do – it can't
make sense
to have MPs' or Ministers' hit-squads touring the country following
up every allegation and duplicating the supervisory bodies. However,
the Haringay case prompts the question of follow-up. It seems
that in
this case the Inspectorate for Social Care advised Haringay
that `some tightening-up' was needed (we'll find out from the
investigations how strong this advice was), but I'd like to be
reassured that there is a system in place for chasing up such
recommendations and see whether they were actually followed.
8. Coming events
I've been asked to pass on these:
Craft Fair on Sunday 23rd November 2008 from
10am to 4pm at Lakeview
Sixth Form College, Chilwell School, Queen's Road West - the perfect
opportunity to start Christmas shopping.
Olympia Arts Theatre, Chilwell School on 27th,
28th & 29th November
at 7.30pm - the Orchard Theatre Company present Neville's Island,
a
dark comic tale. Tickets from the school on 0115 925 2698 or 07827
996223. Price £6.50, concessions £5.50.
By the way, with Christmas coming and the many
charity appeals I'd
like to draw attention to a recent photo-essay by a development
group
comparing food budgets around the world and linking to aid for
both
food production and birth control. I've put in on my website.
It
rather speaks for itself so I won't comment.
http://www.broxtowelabour.org/food.htm
As always, feedback on all these matters welcome.
Best wishes
Nick
Appendix: The debate chronology
Sept 12: First debate. I challenge Ms Soubry
to three duels where
we'd show people the effective choice between the two main candidates
for the next Parliament. She accepts.
Sept 14: I email with suggested dates.
Sept 15: Conservatives reply that it all sounds
OK, but they have an
internal meeting on the 19th and will get back to me. Silence
falls
for two weeks.
I prod them, and on…
Oct 2: They propose extending timescale to "between
now and end of
March", they now refuse to debate me on my own, they suggest
including all parties with candidates in one debate (which would
mean
including the BNP), and say `will check dates today'. I agree
to a
three-cornered debate with the LibDems and say I'm looking forward
to
confirmation of the November date.
Silence falls for two weeks again, so on Oct
17 I ask what's
happening.
Oct 20: They say "Friday's (sic) in November
are becoming very
frantic" and they are awaiting confirmation that Friday 7th
is OK.
They say they should be able to let me know about the 7th "tomorrow".
Silence falls for another two weeks.
Finally on November 2 I comment in a public
email that they seem to
be messing about.
Nov 3: Conservatives now claim they sent an
email on Oct 13 to the
wrong address, ruling out dates in November. When the wrong email
address is pointed out, they say they will "amend our address
book".
Ms Soubry is a lawyer and used to preparing
briefs on difficult
ground, but this doesn't add up. If they sent an email on October
13th ruling out a November date, why did they write a week later
saying they were awaiting confirmation of it? If their address
book
was wrong, why did previous and later emails all get sent to the
correct address, and why didn't they get a message saying it had
bounced?
Ms Soubry says: "Your MP has made political
capital from a human
error and even though we have explained to him what happened he
has
made no apology. It's even more frustrating for me as the Labour
MP
has attacked me and the error is not even mine!"
My comment that they were messing about seems
to me fair. I'll leave
the mysterious missing email question for you to judge.
The new incapacity system/debate, what debate?/supergrid/Brand
& Ross
2 November 2008
1. Launch of the Employment and Support Allowance
------------ --------- --------- --------- --------- ---------
-
-
One of the most significant changes in the benefits
system for many
years started this week, and if you know anyone who is having
difficulty in working due to any kind of disability (physical
or
psychological) it's worth having a look at what's happening.
The basic concept is:
- If you have problems doing your current job,
the system ought
to help you, so you don't lose your job
- If you have such severe problems that you can't continue your
current job, or haven't been able to work for some time due to
such
problems, the system should help with training and support to
get a
different job
- If you have such severe problems that you can't possibly do
any job, the system should help you more generously than up to
now
- If you claim to have problems but you aren't willing to
discuss the possibility of other jobs, you shouldn't get support
for
doing nothing
This differs from the past Incapacity Benefit
by changing the
emphasis from proving that you can't do something to looking to
see
what you might be able to do instead. People who are currently
getting incapacity benefit will be gradually brought into the
system
over the next few years, though no existing benefits will be cut
so
long as the condition that led to them remains. The changes have
been
broadly approved by charities and campaigns working for the disabled,
but obviously the proof of the pudding is in the eating. I'd be
interested in feedback, both on the concept and from anyone who
tries
the new system in practice. You can find full details here:
http://www.dwp.gov.uk/esa
2. The debate that didn't happen
------------ --------- --------- --------- -----
Several more diverse events are coming up that
I've been asked to
mention: you'll find them below. However, one that I was expecting
doesn't seem to be happening: the next debate with my political
opponents [health warning: this item includes partisan comment!].
At
the last debate, I challenged my Conservative opponent, Anna Soubry,
to three more in `duel' format, so that voters in each part of
the
constituency could get to know her and weigh up the choice.
She accepted at the time, but subsequently I
was told by the
Conservatives that she would not agree to debate me on my own,
and
would prefer candidates from all parties to take part. I'd rather
not
organise a meeting with the BNP (I'm not one of those who tries
to
stop them speaking, but I draw the line at actually helping them
get
an audience), so we compromised on further three-party meetings.
I suggested virtually any Friday, Saturday or
Sunday this year, and
the Conservatives proposed November 7. I agreed to this (though
Saturday would have suited me better). They then said that it
might
be difficult and sometime next year might be better. As they'd
suggested the date, I said I'd like to go ahead, and they promised
to
get back to me two weeks ago, but have now fallen silent and haven't
responded to repeated further enquiries.
I presume tactical second thoughts have intruded
on the Tory side as
they listened to reactions to the first debate, but if their
candidate were to be elected she'd have to represent Broxtowe
in
debates in committee and Parliament up to several times a week,
with
opponents who are a good deal fiercer than I am.
I hope they will stop messing about and agree
to some dates, ideally
both for duels and for three-party discussions, and I'll let you
know
if they do.
3. European supergrid
------------ --------- --------- --
I'm supporting a medium-term initiative to develop
a grid for `green'
electricity spanning the whole of Europe and the Middle East.
The
point about this is that many renewable technologies are quite
dependent on local climate, geography and weather (wind power
works
best when it's windy, solar power when it's sunny), and in any
one
area you can get optimal conditions produces a surplus of energy
while another area falls short. It seems to me that this is exactly
the sort of thing that the EU should be focused on, rather than
endless debates about weights and measures and harmonisation:
it's
the sort of thing that can only sensibly be done on an international
basis.
The proposal was launched by 25 MEPs – see
http://www.e-parl.net/eparliament/general.do?action=news&id=123
It was taken up by an NGO, the World Future
Council:
http://www.worldfuturecouncil.org/1012.html
and I've been asked to contribute to a discussion
led by the French
and Egyptian governments later this month on how it might proceed.
4. Transition Nottingham
------------ --------- --------- ------
I've been asked to give a plug to this initiative,
which is one of
nearly 100 similar efforts worldwide. They start from the assumption
that energy and climate change issues are going to make the future
increasingly uncertain, but say that `Instead of succumbing to
gloom
and despair about the future, the Transition process offer creative
and positive solutions, centering around the rebirth of local
communities, which will grow more of their own food, generate
their
own power and keep money in their local area.' While I don't see
this
focus on local self-dependence entirely uncritically (world trade
brings very significant benefits, to rich and poor alike), anything
positive and community-focused has to be a good thing. For more
details, see www.transitionnotti ngham.org. uk .
5. The BBC controversy
Not much to add to the thousands of words already
devoted to the
Russell Brand/Jonathan Ross controversy. Briefly:
- The `jokey' phone call was (in my opinion)
disgusting, and
failed even in its own terms: even if you're not bothered by it
upsetting anyone, it simply wasn't funny.
- I'm not a fan of their sort of sneery humour
anyway, but I
don't think the BBC should only broadcast programmes that I like.
So
I'm not in favour of some elaborate system of pre-broadcast
censorship of everything: there is a danger of over-reaction to
one
unpleasant episode.
- It seems to me that we vastly overestimate
the importance of
celebrities – why should a comedian whose show is 42nd in
audience
ratings be paid 30 times as much as the Prime Minister? Salaries
at
that level need to be renegotiated down to sensible levels, and
if
the BBC can only get Jonathan Ross for £6 million, then
we need to
get used to living with supposedly lesser talents.
- I don't think we should take the opportunity
for a feeding
frenzy at the expense of the BBC, which is still an institution
admired around the world. The victim, Mr Sachs, has behaved with
impeccable dignity throughout, and has accepted the apologies
without
calling for his lawyers – a good example to people who sue
for
damages if anyone so much as sneezes in their vicinity. I think
we
should now follow his example and move on.
6. Coming events
------------ ---------
Three local events:
Wednesday 12 November, 2008, 7.30 pm: Planet
Earth, We Have a
Problem! Feedback dynamics and the Acceleration of Climate Change.
Venue: New Venture Social Club, Technology Drive,
Beeston
Rylands. Entrance Fee: £5 waged, £3 concessions (profits
to the
charitable Meridian progrmame).
This is the latest of Beeston North Labour party's
series of
discussions on the critical issues of our time. An earlier version
was made to the All Party Parliamentary Climate Change Group in
2007.
The argument is that because of a great number
of feedback mechanisms
in the climate system that are self-reinforcing, there is an
acceleration in the pace at which climate change is happening.
This
has taken politicians, policymakers and even the UN by surprise.
The
acceleration has enormous implications because, unless sufficient
action is taken soon enough, there could come a time at which
climate
change will run away and humanity will lose the power to intervene
to
stop the process happening. The speaker is David Wasdell, one
of the
world's leading authorities in the field, international co-ordinator
of the Meridian Programme, leads part of the Global System Dynamics
project of the European Commission.
Thursday November 13, 730pm, at Chilwell Road
Methodist Church Hall,
Beeston: An evening with William Cheung FRPS. A presentation of
images by this renowned photographer and current editor of
Photography Monthly. Ticket prices (inc. refreshments) £6.00
in
advance, £8.00 on the door. Contact 0115 9259611 for ticket
information
Saturday November 29, 10am-330pm: St Mary's
Church in Greasley, near
Eastwood, is giving its annual Christmas bazaar a fresh look this
year — by travelling back to Victorian times. A Victorian
Christmas
Market takes place in the church: there'll be hot chestnuts and
fruit
punch and all the stallholders will be dressed in costume. Stalls
will include luxury hampers, cakes, a bottle tombola, hand-made
jewellery, pickles, jams and chutneys, Traidcraft goods and hundreds
of second-hand books. Other highlights include trips up the church
tower (weather permitting), decorated Christmas trees on display
in
the church and the chance to have your photograph taken in Victorian
costume. Refreshments — including bacon cobs and mince pies
— will be
served all day.
Best regards,
Nick
Finding the Tesco planning application
20 October 2008
Just a PS - the link in my last message only
takes you to the planning
applications page. To find this one, click on "Find a planinng
application" and then search on Ward Beeston Central, Applicant
Name
Tesco. It'll lead you to the basic application, with !voluminous!
documents attached.
Tesco/events/green belt update/Greene King/foie
gras/banking crisis/drinking
20 October 2008
Hi all –
An update on the economy below in reply to a
number of queries, but
first this time some local news, which has been short-changed
in
recent updates because of the international crisis. If you're
mainly
interested in the bigger national issues, just skip down to the
banking position in point 7, and a consultation on alcohol regulation
in point 8.
1. Tesco finalises application
After sustained pressure from local councillors, Tesco have at
last
finalised their proposals for the Beeston store. The details are
here:
http://www.broxtowe.gov.uk/index.aspx?articleid=4145
and you have till October 29 to submit comments if you wish. It
will
then go to the Development Control Committee on the council for
consideration. I gather that Tesco hope to have the store open
by the
end of 2009.
2. Local events
Saturday October 25, 10-12: Charity Christmas Card and Gift Sale
at
Chilwell Road Methodist Church. This brings together a range of
local, national and international charities, primarily on the
theme
of World Development with a wide range of Christmas cards and
gifts.
Nov 1, 10-3pm, Stapleford Police Station: laptop
registration. Bring
your Lap Top with a bill, council tax demand or similar, and they'll
register it on an international data base, so if it's ever stolen
it
can find its way home to you.
Saturday 15th November 2008, from 2-5pm. The
annual Global Gifts Sale
to be held in Christ Church Hall, Lime Grove Avenue, Chilwell
on.
This is the eighth year of the event, which sells fairly traded
Christmas gifts and cards from around the world. Many of the items
provide income for families in some of the world's most deprived
areas, in places as diverse as South America, the Middle East
and
Nepal. Refreshments will be served all afternoon.
3. Groups seeking your support
I've been asked to draw your attention to:
- www.cityofsanctuary.org.
This is an organisation which is
dedicated to making refugees feel welcome. This isn't a campaigning
organisation seeking to admit more or fewer refugees, but rather
comes at it from the angle that if someone does get refugee status,
we should help them integrate and settle happily after what may
have
been very traumatic experiences. As you'll see, it's a national
body,
but there's a Nottingham project included.
- The AFAA website www.attenborough-village-green.com/
. This
is the website for critics of the proposed route of flood protection
along The Strand. The website for supporters of the route was
listed
last time; at that point the AFAA site was not yet up to date.
I
expect a decision in the near future.
- www.ksfiomdepositors.netgenius.co.uk
. This is for savers who
have deposits in banks registered in the Isle of Man that have
failed
in the banking crisis. Because Manx deposits are in principle
tax-
free, the British government has so far taken the view that taxpayers
shouldn't be expected to compensate for losses there. But it's
in the
nature of the wilder frontier of financial markets that banks
can
switch ownership very rapidly, making it hard for ordinary people
to
understand the risks (I was approached by a couple who had a deposit
with a Derbyshire bank that was taken over by an Icelandic bank
shortly before that in turned failed). I agreed to pass this on
in
case other local people are in the same boat.
4. Green belt protection – update
The current Regional Spatial Strategy consultation
has just ended,
and together with local Labour colleagues Richard Robinson and
John
Bryant I've submitted objections, focusing on the proposal to
require
each district to achieve a separate housing target unless all
districts agree. This is in my view the wrong way round: obviously
if
districts all try to pass the buck, in the end someone has to
decide
who builds what, but that should be a fallback position and not
the
first option. If we succeed in getting this revised, it will make
it
easier to block the controversial sites on Trowell Moor and next
to
Bardills, in favour of a joint project with Erewash at Stanton
Ironworks (my preferred solution). The non-party campaign group
STRAG, chaired by Neil Jackson, has put in a separate comprehensive
objection, focusing on the flood risk, sustainability and the
loss of
farming land.
A mild partisan note here: many of you will
have had leaflets from
Conservatives and Liberal Democrats making much of their opposition
to this. So far as I can see, though, neither of their Parliamentary
candidates, nor their individual local councillors, have bothered
to
submit objections to the proposals in the consultation. We saw
something similar happen over the tram inquiry. Leaflets are good
for
raising one's profile, but a lot of politics consists of the hard
grind of getting in comments on time where they may actually achieve
something. However, councils have been consulted directly, and
I'm
sure that Broxtowe will make similar views felt on behalf of all
the
parties.
5. Greene King Kimberley – update
Like Tesco's site, the former Hardy & Hanson
site has been lying
unused for ages (since the start of the year). Richard Robinson
and I
have made a further attempt to press Greene King to disclose possible
buyers for the site so we can get on with detailed discussions
on how
it might be developed in keeping with the traditional look of
the
current buildings. I hope to be able to report back on this.
6. Local restaurant drops foie gras
I've been working with a number of local animal
–lovers to persuade
Crème restaurant in Stapleford to stop serving foie gras.
In a low-
key campaign, I've been encouraging them to go in individually
and
say it's put them off going there. I'm glad to say that the
restaurant has informed me that they decided this summer to take
it
off the menu.
I know that some of you will feel this is a
minor matter when there
are such major issues to pursue, but the way that foie gras is
usually prepared is particularly horrible (involving force-feeding
with a tube down the throat – it's illegal to do this in
Britain),
though the restaurant tells me that it's not always produced that
way. At all events, I'm very pleased they decided to drop it.
7. Banking rescue - details
Quite a few of you have asked exactly what guarantees
the banks are
giving in return for being saved from collapse, as some of the
press
was sketchy on the subject. The deal as I understand it at the
Royal
Bank of Scotland is this (there are analogous arrangements at
the
other `rescued' banks):
- £5 bn was issued in the form of preference
shares, at an
interest rate of 12% per year until bought back from the taxpayer.
- The remaining support was exchanged for 60% of RBS's ordinary
shares at 65p/share (compared with the recent price of 200p).
- The board's Chairman has resigned and will not be paid a
golden handshake. No other bonuses will be paid for the current
financial year (bonuses for last year are paid normally)
- No dividends will be paid in the first year, and not until a
substantial part of the preference shares have been bought back
(which also makes sense for the bank, since they're paying the
very
high 12% interest on them).
- Branches will be told they can lend and extend existing loans
and mortgages on normal risk criteria, excluding the risky loss-
leaders (125% mortgages etc.), up to the level of 2007, though
in
practice lending is likely to be less because of the recession.
As the Guardian City editor observed, there were two considerations
here: the taxpayer needed to extract a full pound of flesh, but
the
banks couldn't be left so stricken that they couldn't make profits.
He thinks the balance looks about right.
However, although it does look as though the package has warded
off
the risk that the whole system will fall apart (which would be
ruinous for the wider economy), there is much more to do. At the
international level, proposals for new international regulation
are
likely to emerge from the IMF talks. These were originally proposed
by Gordon Brown as Chancellor back in 1998, and effectively vetoed
by
the US on the grounds of free market principles and considerations
of
national sovereignty: the Americans are thought in the light of
recent events to have seen the light.
At the British level, the urgent task is to
help businesses and home-
owners who have been snared by the credit crunch to get round
this
nasty corner: we are far from out of the wood yet. I talked briefly
with Brown about this when I saw him in Nottingham on Friday,
and
expect further announcements shortly – probably on Tuesday.
8. Consultation on drinking
At a more mundane level, the Government is currently
consulting on
ways to curb binge drinking. They're considering:
- Restrictions on the sale of cheap alcohol
in supermarkets
(e.g. a ban on `buy one get one free' offers for booze).
- Wine to be served in glasses with marked measures, so people
can judge better how much they are drinking (wine glasses in most
restaurants are larger than they used to be), with a guide to
be
displayed to the number of units that a measure is likely to
represent (so people can judge better when they've reached the
two-
unit limit)
- A ban on free offers of alcohol (e.g to women customers)
- A ban on drinking games (which tend to be based on the idea
that everyone should get amusingly drunk) – this was proposed
among
others by Broxtowe Youth Council
I've not commented as yet. What would you like
me to respond?
Best regards
Nick
Personal news/Ed Balls event postponed/credit
crunch update
09 October 2008
Hi all -
Short of time today but some quick updates and
comment on the
unfolding economic situation. Important note: the previously-
announced Friday event with Ed Balls has been cancelled due to
another pressing commitment: he apologises and we hope to reschedule
it in the New Year.
1. Personal news
The reshuffle included the replacement of the
Energy Minister,
Malcolm Wicks, in the new Department of Energy and Climate Change.
As
I was Malcolm's PPS, this removed my position too. I was offered
a
choice of three alternative PPS positions, but as these were in
immigration and health, outside the energy field where I've been
specialising, I've decided I'd like a period of independence on
the
back benches, so that I'm free to pursue the themes that I've
been
working on over the last year.
If you recall my article a few months back about
the 'insider'
and 'outsider' roles, this is a switch which will mean I have
less
behind-the-scenes input but more freedom to comment and vote
differently. It also means I'm now free to sign Early Day Motions
again.
2. Events update
I've been asked to advertise these events:
They are all at the Olympia Arts Centre, Chilwell School, Queens
Road
West. Entrance through reception at Chilwell School.
Sunday 12th October at 7.30pm, screening of
Love in the Time of
Cholera (15). Come at 7pm for refreshments and an introduction
to the
film. Tickets are £4.50 on the door.
Friday 17th October at 7.30pm, Pleasley Colliery
Welfare Band.
Entrance is free, with a collection to cover costs. Organised
by Cllr
Pat Lally. Ring 9252698 to reserve a seat.
Thursday 20th November at 7.30pm, The New Rope
String Band. Tickets
are available now from the school on 9252698: adults £8,
students
and concessions £6, family ticket (2 adults + 2) £25.
3. Credit crunch
You can find infinite amounts of analysis in
the media, so I won't
try to duplicate, but I'd like to update you on the line I'm taking
on your behalf, so you can consider whether you'd like me to be
saying anything different.
a) As I said a couple of weeks ago, my primary
concern is the knock-
on effect of the crunch on the 'real economy', in the form of
businesses being unable to extend existing credit and borrow sensibly
for normal development: for instance, if you want to replace some
machinery with more efficient new equipment, you quite reasonably
want to take a loan to do so as part of your normal business.
This is
bound to have done significant damage already (which I'm afraid
does
mean bad economic and employment news in the pipeline) and the
crucial element of yesterday's package was the technical one of
freeing interbank lending, which should make it easier for banks
to
resume normal support for businesses.
It is in my view entirely fair that in return
for this help we impose
restrictions on inordinate executive bonuses, exaggerated risk-
taking, and the wilder forms of speculation.
b) The second important element is to stabilise
the housing market. I
don't favour trying to push prices back up - they were clearly
over-
inflated and we shouldn't try to reinflate the bubble. But the
present position is that instability means that nobody knows whether
it's sensible to buy or sell, and since people simply have to
move
sometimes, it's unfair that they're forced to decide on that basis.
c) The third important element is protecting
the position of
taxpayers and public spending. The financial guarantees, terrifying
though they sound, don't necessarily mean a hit to taxpayers because
they're based on assets which have the same value in normal times
(note that the much-criticised loan to Northern Rock has already
been
more than half repaid, ahead of schedule). However, the problems
in
the last two points are going to mean a steep decline in tax
revenues. I'm therefore putting a personal moratorium on calling
for
significant new spending on anything, however desirable, and we
need
to look again at current programmes with a critical eye.
d) The least important element is short-term
movement in the stock
markets. In the long term, it's important for pensions and for
firms
to build up their long-term strength. But I don't favour any
government action focused simply on shoring up shhare prices:
they
will recover to an appropriate level if we successfully stabilise
the
underlying economy.
Feedback as always welcome!
Best wishes
Nick
One more event - Beeston Transition
27 September 2008
Sorry, forgot to include one more that I think
will interest quite a
few readers in the Beeston area:
Free film showing, organised by the Beeston
Transition Initiative on
1st October. They are a group of local people who have come together
with the aim of raising awareness about climate change and peak
oil,
and to co-ordinate the transition of our community to one that
is less
dependent on oil. You may have heard of the Totnes Transition
initiative: this is a similar version for Beeston.
Beeston Transition film showing & discussion
The Power of Community
Old Council Chambers, Beeston Town Hall, Foster Ave
Wed 1st Oct, 6-9pm (film starts at 7pm)
Admission free
More details available from
http://beestontransition.weebly.com/
The current political climate/flood protection/events
27 September 2008
Hi all –
I'll be away from tomorrow for three days visiting
friends, so just
thought I'd do a roundup with some thoughts on the current political
climate (reader's warning: this one contains partisan opinion!)
and
information on upcoming events. There's also an update on the
Attenborough flood defence issue.
1. THE CURRENT POLITICAL CLIMATE
Not that much to add to the analysis of last
week on the economic
position, except that it clearly remains extremely fraught. If
Congress agrees to underwrite shaky bank loans (which is likely
to
include loans taken up by British banks on the US market), that
may
unlock the credit markets, which should produce considerable long-
term relief (to some extent at the expense of the US taxpayer),
but
the problems of credit in recent months are bound to have an effect
on the economy going into next year.
That's the economics, and although it's extremely
tricky there is
some prospect of improvement. What I think is depressing is the
political climate, which seems mired in playground exchanges to
an
almost unprecedented extent. Here's a magazine interview with
George
Osborne last week on the Prime Minister:
`"Gordon Brown is an effing awful prime
minister." Mr Osborne, who in
the past has called Mr Brown "weak" "brutal"
"unpleasant" , "a phoney"
and a "failure", added: "Do I hate the man? I certainly
stand by
everything I've said about him."'
Now, regardless of what you think of the PM,
is this is a sensible
way for the Shadow Chancellor to be discussing current politics?
We've had three weeks of almost total silence from the Opposition
on
the credit crunch, and filling in with this sort of abuse is no
substitute: it's not so much the language as the immaturity that
seems to me discouraging.
The same pattern is mirrored locally, minus
the vulgarity. A friend
has sat down and worked through all the blogs published by the
Conservative candidate, Ms Soubry, over the last year. This is
a
breakdown of the items:
Attacks on the Labour Party/Government: 61
Attacks on me personally: 31
Attacks on the Liberal Democrats: 20
Anything positive about Broxtowe: 2
Neutral discussions of current issues, not making partisan points:
0
It's worth acknowledging that this is *not*
the local Conservative
tradition. My Tory predecessor, Sir Jim Lester, had the same approach
that I have, generally trying to solve problems and work across
party
lines. But it's the norm in most parts of the country, and it's
by no
means only the Conservatives – a glance at Labour's campaign
in Crewe
(all about "Tory toffs") and the LibDem campaign in
the by-election I
went to in Leicester (all about alleged sins of the Labour candidate
20 years earlier) were just as bad. The politics of relentless
attack, imported from America, are generally thought to be what
works. It's simply suicide to ignore it altogether, but what I
try to
do is corral the partisan stuff into separate messages with an
up-
front warning.
The effect of this poisonous climate is to make
sensible discussion
very difficult. For instance, in Brown's speech at the UN, he
called
for an end to `the age of irresponsibility' , in other words greater
controls on international and domestic financial markets. Now
this is
a tacit acceptance of the fact that markets have been greatly
liberalised in recent years and we and nearly everyone else can
now
see it's gone too far – the sensible response to if you
see something
isn't working is to accept that it's wrong and fix it.
Ms Osborne's response has been to sneer: huh,
well, who was in charge
in recent years then, isn't it you that's irresponsible? That
would
carry some weight if he'd previously urged greater restraint,
but in
fact it's opportunism, since he's urged the opposite: he criticised
us last year for retaining *any* controls on mortgage lending.
No
doubt his speech at the Tory conference on Monday will tell us
more,
but I predict it will be more about public spending than financial
controls.
That's important, because there are two separate
issues here:
a) Should we impose constraints on the financial
markets?
b) Is Government debt too high, and should we
reduce public spending
to lower it?
The two are quite distinct, and it's deliberately
misleading to imply
that the credit crunch driven by the world banking markets is
in some
way linked to spending on better schools in Britain. Mr Osborne
is
harshly critical of the level of public spending, but indulgent
of
City excesses. On Newsnight Mr Osborne said: "No one likes
to see
people making money out of the misery of others but that's one
of the
functions of a market economy." (As there's been controversy
about
this, I'm being careful to quote him precisely.)
Re a), the question is how far constraints will
protect consumers and
how far they will constrain growth (by making sensible lending
more
difficult, inhibiting investment). The liberalisation of the City
and
its overseas equivalents has maximised the availability of capital
for business at the expense of safety… but if we overdo
the
constraints, we'll have the opposite problem that banks will be
very
safe but businesses won't be able to borrow to grow and increase
prosperity. There's an important and serious discussion to be
had on
this if we can put the partisan stuff to one side. Personally,
I do
think that the balance has tilted too far to reckless liberalisation,
and yes, politicians of all parties are to blame for supporting
it,
so let's fix it.
Re b), Government debt is in fact lower than
10 years ago – briefly,
the enormous proceeds of the sale of mobile phone licences were
ploughed by Brown into reducing debt (he was much-criticised at
the
time for not spending it on public services), and those savings
have
gradually been drawn on to pay for the expansion in schools,
hospitals, policing, etc., which had been starved of resources
for
years. For an independent analysis to verify this, see Channel
4's
piece here:
http://tinyurl.com/4knoao
That doesn't mean that public spending should
rise regardless – the
credit crunch must mean that tax revenues are down, and we'll
need to
respond to that. But it doesn't mean we shouldn't be tackling
the
excesses in the financial markets, and that's something which
badly
needs both domestic and international agreement. If even President
Bush can be persuaded, shouldn't Mr Osborne and Mr Cameron be
open to
it?
2. FLOOD DEFENCES
The Attenborough Flood Alleviation Alliance
(AFAA) have decided to
support a compromise proposal which I made when the issue last
came
to the boil. This would run behind the sports fields but would
then
cut sharply up to the Strand to avoid the part of the SSSI most
at
risk. Whether the EA is convinced remains to be seen. Whatever
the
final proposal, it's likely to go before Broxtowe's Development
Control Committee within the next few weeks. For the views of
different local groups campaigning on the issue, see
http://www.attenborough-cc.net/newsletters.php?newsletterid=130
for a current presentation of the critics' position
(their official
website is www.Attenborough- Village-Green. com but this is awaiting
an
update) and
http://attenboroughfloodwall.web.officelive.com/default.aspx
for a new group supporting the EA's proposals.
My position is the same as it's been for the
last year – I would like
to see a compromise and hope that a consensus may yet emerge.
Above
all I want to see protection go ahead before public spending cutbacks
or the demands of other areas lead to the cancellation of the
project. Thousands of homes in the constituency are potentially
at
higher risk without the protection, and in the most severe cases
there could be implications for insurance. So I'm continuing to
do
all I can to promote compromise, but would not recommend the council
voting for delay.
3. SNIPPETS AND EVENTS
Friday 3rd October: start of new Ilkeston-Cossall-
Awsworth- Kimberley-
Phoenix Park bus route, 364 days a year – see earlier emails
for the
background to this, with Richard Robinson and I were very heavily
involved in proposing and bringing to fruition. There will be
an
official launch event with various well-known people a week later.
Saturday 4th October 7.30pm Nottingham Police
Aid Convoys present
Echoes Of Hope, charity concert with soloists and Nottingham Male
Voice Choir. Easy listening plus songs from the shows. St.Barnabas
Church Lenton Abbey just off Priory roundabout. Tickets £5
or more
information tel:Wendy 8497517 or Maggie 9436054.
Friday 10th October 19.00: Ed Balls (currently
Secretary of State for
Children, Schools and Families) speaking at John Clifford School
-
this is organised by Labour though all are welcome; admission
is £5.
October 2008 onwards: free "Challenging
arthritis" course, Southglade
Access Centre, Southglade Road, Bestwood. The course (run by
volunteers with arthritis) is for people with arthritis and related
illnesses aged 18 - 100 + who want to learn self-management skills
and techniques to better manage their arthritis. There is one
session
of 2 1/2 hours per week for 6 weeks and the course is led by fully-
trained people with arthritis. Call Gill on 0115 9226403 for details:
first come, first served.
Best regards
Nick
Phone problem today/policing event/economy and
fuel crisis Q&A
14 September 2008
Hi all –
A short-term general note - BT say there is
a massive network
problem, and recommend not ringing anyone till tomorrow!
Several of you have asked if I'm one of these
leadership plotters we
read about. No – I think it's a tiresome distraction and
we should be
getting on with the job we were elected for, which at the moment
means concentrating on addressing the economic position. So I'll
comment on that and add a Q&A for the questions I'm most often
asked.
First, one more plug for this week's meeting
on policing. As
mentioned, it's from 7 to 9 on Wednesday September 17, at Roundhill
School, foster Avenue, Beeston. It's about policing strategy for
Broxtowe as a whole. There will be no discussion of individual
offences (if you want to discuss crime on a particular road, the
CAT
meeting is the place to do it) – it's about strategy. The
questions
I've asked the police to address include these:
What are the current crime stats, how do they
compare with past stats?
How far can we actually trust stats? Do we think
people report crimes
more or less than in the past?
How do we assess things like graffiti and litter
which are rarely-
reported?
How many police are there in neighbourhood teams
and in patrol cars?
How quickly can you expect a response to a 999
call? To a call to the
police station?
To your neighbourhood officer?
What happens after you've had a response? Will
the police later tell
you how they're getting on?
If one's aware of a pattern of offences, not
individually worth 999
calls, how should they be reported? Does it commit one to giving
evidence?
Are police drowning in paperwork so unable to
get on the beat? What
is the paperwork anyway? Are the much-heralded PDAs for beat officers
really coming? What else could be changed to reduce paperwork?
What is really done about minor anti-social
behaviour? Is it worth
reporting that teenager Fred keeps getting drunk and shouting
in the
street? What will be done if one does?
The meeting is free (though we'll do a whip-round
to cover the hall
cost) and non-partisan: I organised it simply because I'm often
asked
these questions as your MP, and I thought it'd be helpful to enable
you to hear the police speaking for themselves. I'll introduce
it
briefly, then hand over to the officers.
We're also still taking bookings for the energy
debate on the 24th
with Alan Simpson as guest (let me know if you can come), and
after
the feisty debate on Friday with the Tories' candidate Anna Soubry
I
challenged her to three more duels in Stapleford, Kimberley and
Trowell: she's accepted and these will be announced when we've
sorted
the details.
On to the main theme:
Energy, housing and world recession
------------ --------- --------- --------- -----
Leaving aside for a moment the party stuff (it's
your fault, no you
were worse, no your policies are rubbish, well you don't have
policies at all, etc.), what is the position and what should we
do
about it?
What's actually happening? The economy is not
in terrible shape (the
economists are arguing about whether growth will be +0.5% or -0.2%,
but basically it's stationary) but there are two glaring things
to
worry about and one less obvious one.
First, we are collectively poorer as a country
because of the
enormous rise in fuel prices. The change over time is shown here:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_price_increases_of_2004_and_2005
Basically the price per barrel was around $30
until 2004, and it's
risen to about $100 now. This has coincided with British North
Sea
production peaking and going into steep decline. So we're having
to
import much more of something that costs over three times what
it did
four years ago. A side-effect has been a sharp rise in profits
for
the multinational oil producers (but not for the local retailers).
Second, the credit crunch, which is due to one
of the main pillars of
the whole system of lending (trading of debt on the US market)
completely collapsing. This is the equivalent of if the food industry
suddenly heard that butter was poisonous – yes, in due course
they'd
adjust with alternatives, but in the short term the disruption
would
be horrendous. The obvious effect has been that mortgages are
much
harder to come by, so house prices have slumped, but a less obvious
one is that it's harder to get a loan for any kind of investment.
For
the economy as a whole, that is the more serious effect: if
investment stalls, it has a knock-on effect on everything as well
as
affecting future competitiveness.
What can we do about it?
1. Try to redistribute some of the energy profit
rise to the
people worst affected
2. Reduce dependence on imported oil and gas
3. Prevent the oil price shock from triggering a wider round of
inflation
4. Get the loans market working again
Re 1: the problem is that the multinationals
are hard to tax (whether
by a windfall tax or other means) as they are essentially mobile.
What we've done is negotiate a shift of one third of the increased
profits (£1 billion out of £3 billion) to engineer
a large increase
in home insulation. Since relatively few people can get better
insulation in time for this winter, we've tripled the severe-weather
payments to vulnerable groups. To be precise, the definition of
these
is: "Pensioners, disabled people and families with a child
under five
or a disabled child receiving Pension Credit, Income Support,
income-
based Jobseeker's Allowance, and income-related Employment and
Support Allowance".
Re 2: This was vital anyway, for the reasons
I argued in my
last "Positive Politics" newsletter – we are dangerously
dependent on
imported fuel. Because I'm especially involved in energy and
environment issues I've been going on about this for a long time,
and
discussed the implications back in June before the current crisis.
I
won't repeat it now to avoid making this update too long, but
if
you're interested you can find a discussion in point 3 of
http://groups.yahoo.com/group/BroxtoweInfo/message/447
Re 3: this does mean pay restraint, I'm afraid.
We've had several
years of better settlements for most public sector workers where
public pay caught up with private pay, but the last year it's
been
squeezed and it will be again this year. I voted against an MP
pay
rise and I'd vote against a significant rise this year in other
areas
too – it's simply dangerous at this moment for employment
and the
economy, despite every special case that one can make for every
profession.
Re 4: this means preventing a run on banks (the
Northern Rock rescue
was criticised at the time, but the US have just belatedly done
the
same for mortgage lenders massively larger than NR), getting more
liquidity back into the market, and lowering interest rates as
soon
as it's clear that inflation isn't spiralling further upwards.
Q&A
• How can I find out how far I can benefit
from the energy
package?
The publicly-funded Energy Saving Trust on 0800
512 012 can help
(once BT sort out the network problem!).
• Won't the energy companies just charge
more to pay for the
help in insulation?
In my experience in private industry, companies
*always* charge as
much as they think they can get. But they're well aware that we
came
very close to imposing a windfall tax this year and that the public
would have backed it. They've surrendered a chunk of their profit
to
avoid it, and would be unwise to rush to try to build it up again.
• Shouldn't we be getting cash payments
for consumers instead
of helping with insulation?
Frankly we're hooked on excessive energy consumption,
and simply
handing out one-off payments for another fix isn't sensible (though
maybe more of a vote-winner, he said wistfully). The severe weather
payment increase is needed to protect the really vulnerable, but
for
everyone else it really makes more sense to help reduce energy
*consumption* – for the individuals, for the national interest,
and
for climate change.
• Why not go beyond help with insulation
to other forms of
energy saving, like low-energy light bulbs, double glazing and
solar
power?
The package does include help with low-energy
bulbs and devices to
measure energy usage for people in the most-affected groups, but
the
emphasis is on financing insulation, since this produces much
the
biggest energy saving per £ (it pays off within as little
as four
years, whereas solar panels are more like 20 years); the 50% discount
for everyone regardless of income should mean that few households
with cavity walls and lofts will leave them uninsulated. The savings
for households who haven't done them already should average £300
lower bills each year.
But personally I'd like to see us go further,
and offer a subsidy for
double glazing and renewable energy investment at home, even if
it
was just 25%. A lot of homes do have insulation now, and we need
to
help (and nudge) people to do more.
• What about homes with solid walls?
The stock response is that these are vastly
more expensive to
insulate. I'm advised that this isn't necessarily true, and I'm
looking into it – input from any of you who have professional
knowledge would be very welcome.
• Isn't part of the problem that we've
spent beyond our means
in good years, so don't have anything left now?
No, this is actually a myth. Because of the
decision (controversial
at the time) to spend nearly all the proceeds of the vast spectrum
auction (£27 billion) on reducing debt, public debt as a
share of
national income is now 37.3% as against 43% in 1997, so we are
in a
better position to borrow if needed. However, just borrowing like
mad
wouldn't solve the structural problems caused by the huge change
in
global energy markets.
• Should we be doing more, less or nothing
about mortgages?
I've had quite strong and contradictory feedback
on this. I don't
think we should use taxpayers' money to sustain artificially high
house prices – apart from anything else, it wouldn't work.
I'm
cautious about the stamp duty changes, but because half the problem
in the market is a crisis of confidence, I can see a case for
encouraging people to bring forward house sales at the cheaper
end of
the market.
Where Government does have an important role
is helping people avoid
repossession when they've become overextended, by enabling them
to
take a step back and accept shared equity for the part of the
mortgage they can't afford. Making this work in practice is not
going
to be easy, but it could make all the difference to people threatened
with losing their homes.
• Is this really the most serious crisis
for the world economy
for 60 years, as Alastair Darling was quoted as saying?
There isn't a huge world economic slump (yet).
But the point is that
it's the most *complex* crisis for 60 years. We're used to `price
shocks' from time to time as world trade goes through ups and
downs.
We're not used to the combination of a price shock with a financial
market crunch, and it needs a very careful hand to deal with both
at
once.
As I said at the debate the other day, the problem
is politically
neutral even though we may have different ideas on the priorities
for
dealing with it there is a set of nasty facts that every government
is facing. To make one partisan comment: if Mr Cameron, Mr Osborne
or
the local Conservatives have some positive proposals of their
own, as
opposed to merely saying it's all awful, I've missed them.
My best guess is that we will see interest rates
start to fall by the
New Year, and some daylight in the wider economy by mid-2009,
but
there will be a very difficult period between now and then as
the
impact of the current crisis of confidence feeds through. I hope
these notes are useful.
Best wishes
Nick
Energy debate/major Bramcote Hills problem/floods/tram
update/radon
5 September 2008
Hi all –
Lots of locally important issues to report,
the first linking in to
the current headline issues on fuel costs. A quick note to reply
to a
query from a number of people to my last email – yes, the
new bus
through Kimberley and West Nuthall to the tram will be free off-peak
to all pensioners with their national bus card (as is the tram
itself, so if you're over 60 you'll be able to go to Nottingham
at no
cost).
1. Energy debate on September 24
Confirmation of the revised date for the discussion
of energy issues:
I'll be doing this will be with Alan Simpson and Steve Barber
at the
Durham Ox Chinese restaurant on Wednesday, September 24 at 8 p.m.
It's a
variant on the usual eat'n'debate format – by paying at
least £12 you
get as much debate as you like and as much food as you can eat.
If
you can, we'd be grateful if you can pay the usual £20,
but if you
can't spare that much but can manage £12, a supporter is
kindly
offering to help make up the difference to try to make sure that
nobody feels they can't take part in this important issue on cost
grounds.
Alan will lead off with an introduction based
on his own
revolutionary eco-house in Nottingham and the benefits and handicaps
in getting it built; I'll talk about the national policy, including
the current controversy about a windfall tax and help for people
affected by high energy prices; Steve will talk about the local
Broxtowe issues, and nhen we'll throw it open. The idea is to
have an
informed discussion with insights both on what our national policies
should be and what we can do as individuals. As space is limited,
please confirm if you would like to come.
By the way, if you're interested in the broader
climate change
issues, there's an interesting new Defra website entirely devoted
to
it:
www.defra.gov.uk/adaptation
2. Bramcote schools issue
I was alarmed to hear reports about structural
problems at Bramcote
Hills school, sand went along to a Tuesday briefing for parents
to
find out the facts so I could report them back to you. It's quite
upsetting, though the school and its partners are handling it
well.
What's happened is that the major project for new 6th form
facilities, on which £300,000 has already been spent, uncovered
major
structural problems in up to half the buildings in the school.
It's
not safe to use them at the moment, so the school has been scrambling
to make separate measures with its partners in the Federation,
Alderman White and especially Bramcote Park (who are of course
sited
next door). Year 7 and 8 pupils are going to the partner schools
instead; other Bramcote Hills pupils are being accommodated in
the
unaffected buildings, with urgent relocation of science facilities.
A
lot of work went into making it possible for all the pupils to
start
on time this week, with free new uniforms for the children switching
school and emergency money from the LEA to help with the costs.
Further examination of the buildings is in progress and I
expect a set of recommendations to emerge in the next few weeks.
Tantalisingly, the entire school is expected to get completely
new
buildings as part of the Government's programme Buildings Schools
for
the Future (which is refurbishing every secondary school in England),
but not until around 2015-2016. So there's a 7-year gap to bridge,
and although both the partner schools do have spare capacity,
they
don't have so much that they can absorb all of Hills' current
and
expected pupils. I'm hoping that some Government money from the
BSF
programme could be brought forward if there is a convincingly
transition plan, but it's a difficult situation. I'll work with
the
Federation to do all I can to help.
Many parents whose children have unexpectedly been switched
to a different school are understandably very upset. There have
been
some pretty wild allegations (`the school is being sold to the
Mormons', `it's not a real problem, they just want an excuse to
close
it') but having talked to the very concerned staff from both the
school and the LEA, I'm clear that the risk is real and they couldn't
simply press on regardless – sooner or later one of the
buildings
would have collapsed quite suddenly, and we'd be looking at an
inquest and people asking why the danger was ignored.
3. Flood protection update
The Environment Agency have called a fresh meeting
at Attenborough
Village Hall on September 15 at 7.30pm, to discuss their renewed
proposals for protecting the area. As you may remember, an earlier
application to build along The Strand met strong opposition from
many
residents, who favoured running the protection behind the sports
fields instead – partly to protect the sports fields, partly
to avoid
an unsightly wall on The Strand. The alternative route favoured
by
residents infringes a Site of Special Scientific Interest, and
English Nature and Notts Wildlife Trust have opposed it. The EA
plans
to press ahead with their proposal for the Strand route, though
they've made changes to try to make the wall less obtrusive. A
new
planning application will be submitted next month.
The issue remains strongly contested. The prize of a
successful project is significant, though: the full scheme is,
I
understand, the largest planned in the whole country, and it will
protect vulnerable areas across Greater Nottingham. I've made
several
attempts to broker a compromise (so far without success), since
it
seems to me vital that we do get the added protection under way
before the money gets diverted elsewhere. I'll be attending the
meeting and will hope to contribute constructively.
4. NET: new enquiry
There have been confusing developments over
the tram extension which
it may be helpful to explain. The inquiry report has gone to the
Department of Transport, who are currently studying it: I expect
publication of the outcome in a few months' time. In the meantime
there have been one and a half mini-new enquiries.
First, opponents of the route in Rushcliffe have drawn to the
presence of migrating Golden Plovers at one point of the route.
Since
this wasn't an issue raised at the inquiry, it will be reopened
to
consider it, probably briefly, starting in the week of October
7
Second, NET have been negotiating with Broxtowe Council and others
over land exchange to allow the proposed route to be used, if
it's
approved. They applied for compulsory purchase, which will require
a
short new enquiry starting October 14. however, it turns out that
this too will only relate to the Rushcliffe part, since I was
informed today that voluntary agreement has been reached for the
Broxtowe part. Broxtowe's all-party Cabinet approved the exchange
without opposition. They include:
- £260,000 towards recreational facilities in Chilwell
- New open space off Inham Road
- Replacement children's play area at Inham Nook recreation
ground
- New footpaths and improved street lighting in the Inham Nook
area
I'm not expecting the inquiries to produce a major delay, and
whether
people are for or against I think it's in the general interest
that
we find out as soon as possible what the outcome is.
5. Radon measurements in North Broxtowe
Many people who have bought a house in the north
of the borough
(Kimberley, Moorgreen, Nuthall, Greasley, Watnall) will have had
a
note on the search that the area is for geological reasons considered
to have heightened risk (3% or higher) of radon, which in high
concentrations over many years can increase the risk of lung cancer.
While this sounds alarming, one can check with a detector costing
£40, and if there's an issue the council will advise on
what to do –
the work involved to lower the level is relatively simple and
sometimes just putting in an air brick does the trick.
Broxtowe Council has now negotiated with the government to get
a free
detector for every household in the area in question that wants
one.
If your home is one of them, you should get a letter about this
shortly. If you don't get a letter, it's because you're not in
the
geological area posing any heightened risk. If you'd like to read
more about radon, there's a summary here:
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/health/4113765.stm
Other little items:
- There's a new active group that's in the process
of establishing a
branch of the Nottingham Credit Union in Beeston and Chilwell.
We're
based at Inham Nook Methodist Church and are currently opening
over
Tuesday morning between 10.00am and 12.00pm. For more info email
chilwell@nottinghamcu.co.uk
- I've been working extensively with the Plain
English Campaign on
the Small Print Bill, and said I'd give them a plug to thank them
for
all their work. You can find their website at
www.plainenglish.co.uk
. I used to be a bit of a sceptic about them
(not every issue can be simplified easily) but they've really
proved
loyal and enthusiastic supporters on the small print issue, and
they're a largely voluntary body who work hard to make life more
comprehensible!
Best wishes
Nick
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